Meanwhile, Bumblebee’s surprisingly strong reviews are lifting its box office potential. That would be something amazing for Anime. For example, Glass remained in first place with $2.76 million on Friday, putting it on pace for between $9 million on $10 million. If Beale Street Could Talk rounded out the $10,000 with an average of $11,788, and it managed this despite expanding its theater count to 65. Aquaman shows that despite mixed reviews from critics and a domestic box office (barring some kind of miracle) that leaves a lot to be desired, it can still be considered a win for Warner Bros. and in itself is a testament to the power of getting a movies released in China (China restricts the number of foreign movies shown in the country.). Meanwhile, this weekend last year, Winchester opened with just over $9 million and two holdovers earned $10 million. We have enough details now to look at the weekend results and the Christmas Day releases and see which are thriving and which are not. More... November turned out to be a really, really good month. Chip in as little as $3 to help keep it free for everyone. According to Disney, the film is 13% ahead of Split internationally, but again, given its weaker reviews and its CinemaScore, its legs will likely be short enough that Glass will finish with less than its predecessor. Its reviews are clearly not helping, while the film only managed a B from CinemaScore, which is down from the B plus Split earned. International Box Office: Aquaman Cracks $750 million Worldwide. Its biggest market overall is China where it added $11.45 million over the weekend to its running tally, which now sits at $261.28 million after four weeks of release. Glass will remain at the top of the box office, unless something truly strange happens. Overall, the weekend box office hit $188 million, which is 6.2% higher than last weekend, and while it is 3.5% lower than the same weekend last year, this is still better than expected. This is very likely enough to knock it out of first place on the weekend chart as well, becoming STX’s first number one hit. Get ready to read that phrase again a couple of more times this story. Holmes and Watson is by far the bigger of the two releases, but despite the comedic talent in the movie, its reviews are, well, practically non-existent. We predicted an opening weekend of $67 million and I think the film will top that, by one or two million dollars. It’s practically guaranteed to get to $100 million domestically, while it is doing a little better internationally. It’s going to be another bad week for 2019. For example, it earned $7.8 million on 3,110 screens in Russia, which was more than double Wonder Woman’s opening in that market. However, the lead actually managed to grow a little bit, thanks to hits like Ralph Breaks the Internet, Dr. Seuss’ The Grinch, Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald, and Bohemian Rhapsody. It will soon become the first film released in 2019 to get to $200 million worldwide and it isn’t done yet. and it is not done yet. The Origin story of half-human, half-Atlantean Arthur Curry and takes him on the journey of his lifetime—one that will not only force him to face who he really is, but to discover if he is worthy of who he was born to be…a king. Though Aquaman now tops the DC charts, the James Wan-directed film is only the seventh top-grossing film comic book movie of all time. However, the box office will pick up in March and while I don’t think we’ll match last year’s record pace, we also won’t see a once in a decade slump either. Even so, the Super Bowl still had a devastating effect on the box office leading to arguably the worst Super Bowl weekend box office results since 1999. That said, the film only cost $20 million to make and Universal’s share of the opening weekend will be more than that. are available through our research services. If this translates into long legs, then it could earn first place with as much as $20 million, but $19 million is more likely at this point. Millions rely on Vox’s explainers to understand an increasingly chaotic world. It was able to earn first place thank in part due to its first place debut in China, where it earned $58.06 million over the weekend for a total opening of $59.26 million. More on that year later. This weekend last year was MLK Day long weekend. Not all of these will be hits—the competition is just too great for that. James Wan’s spinoff tops all three Christopher Nolan Bat-films in worldwide totals. However, I think Mary Poppins Returns will be number one over the full week, partially because it should earn a bigger boost over Christmas, but also because it is opening two days early. The same can be said of Bumblebee, which could usher in a new era of Transformers movies. International Box Office: Aquaman Tops Competition by $100 million, Weekend Estimates: Spider-Man is too much for just one Universe, International Box Office: Aquaman Floods China, Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald, All Time Domestic Inflation Adjusted Box Office (Rank 101-200), Top 2018 Movies at the Domestic Box Office, All Time Domestic Box Office for Based on Comic/Graphic Novel Movies, All Time Domestic Box Office for Animation/Live Action Movies, All Time Domestic Box Office for Action Movies, All Time Domestic Box Office for PG-13 Movies, All Time Domestic Box Office for Warner Bros. Movies, All Time International Non-Sequel Box Office, Top 2018 Movies at the International Box Office, All Time International Box Office for Based on Comic/Graphic Novel Movies, All Time International Box Office for Animation/Live Action Movies, All Time International Box Office for Action Movies, All Time International Box Office for PG-13 Movies, All Time International Box Office for Warner Bros. Movies, Biggest Film in a Single Market (Rank 101-200), Top 2018 Movies at the Worldwide Box Office, All Time Worldwide Box Office for Based on Comic/Graphic Novel Movies, All Time Worldwide Box Office for Animation/Live Action Movies, All Time Worldwide Box Office for Action Movies, All Time Worldwide Box Office for PG-13 Movies, All Time Worldwide Box Office for Warner Bros. Movies, Untitled Spider-Man: Far From Home Sequel, 4.94 (domestic box office/biggest weekend), $160,000,000 (worldwide box office is 7.1 times production budget), 4,125 opening theaters/4,184 max. That’s more than this week’s two releases will earn combined. Overall, the box office fell 27% from last week down to just $72 million. Americans may have to take to the streets. Aquaman has close to a 50/50 chance of earning $50 million, but the rest of the films will be well back resulting in 2018 ending on a losing note. In particular, we adjust weekly sales figures for the quarter once the total market estimates are published by the Digital Entertainment Group. The Upside is the only other new release with a better than 50/50 shot of earning a spot in the top five. See the Box Office tab (Domestic) and International tab (International and Worldwide) for more Cumulative Box Office Records. On the other hand, last December was stronger, at least on top. However, the lack of reviews hurts and the buzz isn’t loud enough to compensate. Overall, the weekend was down by 26% from last weekend, falling to $138 million, but this was a post-holiday weekend, so this was to be expected. In other words, while this is a faster decline than predicted, it is not so fast that anyone should panic. This weekend last year was the weekend after MLK Day, so the misalignment in holidays should give 2019 its first win of the year. This weekend it pulled in $23.6 million for a two-week total of $89.1 million. This includes Dragon Ball Super: Broly, which wasn’t even expected to open in the top five. It was a busy week on the theater average chart, as there were three new releases and three holdovers in the $10,000 club. In fact, 2019 is off to the worst start since 2012 or 2011, depending on if you take ticket price inflation into account. That said, with a start like this, $100 million domestically is practically guaranteed, while $150 million is a solid goal to aim for. Weekend Predictions: Will Glass Shatter Franchise Records? Internationally, the film is earning $12.2 million over the weekend for totals of $110.3 million internationally and $199.0 million worldwide. Replicas, on the other hand, is widely expected to bomb. In fact, it very likely won’t knock Mary Poppins Returns out of second place. It could be more than the top two films earn in total. How a Michelin-starred restaurant became a pandemic takeout joint, Study: Trump rallies may be responsible for an estimated 700 Covid-19 deaths. Not only do we have the biggest hit of last winter on this week’s list, but Aquaman is actually worth owning. As expected, Glass earned first place on the weekend box office chart with $9.55 million, but it is never a good sign when the number one film earns less than $10 million. Overall, the box office rose 8.6% from last weekend to $130 million. That’s the largest change out of all of the films we talked about. It’s also only $72 million behind Wonder Woman’s worldwide haul of $821 million, a movie that was considered to be no-brainer hit for Warner Bros. A 42% drop-off is amazing for China, which is know for sharp sophomore declines, and the film is already the fourth-biggest super hero film in that market. Its Chinese ticket sales have made it the third highest-earning movie in the DC Extended Universe. It’s going to be another bad week for 2019. Next weekend’s comparison will be much easier to make. It is a busy week, as there are seven films opening wide over the next seven days. The film has yet to open in China and when it does, it will get past $250 million worldwide. It has $940.7 million worldwide and will crack $1 billion shortly. The overall box office leader, Aquaman, was next with an average of $12,634. Year-to-date, and this is up to Boxing Day, 2018 is ahead by 7.7% or $810 million at $11.37 billion to $10.56 billion. Internationally, the film has already cracked $500 million with a running tally of $511.8 million as of the end of business on Friday. This includes Aquaman, which led the way with $31.00 million. That said, it should be relatively close and 2018 has already topped last year’s final box office by a significant margin. The film’s biggest new market was Australia where it opened with $7.94 million on 632 screens over the weekend for a total opening $11.04 million. This is more than double the $2.02 million Split opened with and the record for M. Night Shyamalan in that market. It is the biggest international hit for a D.C. film, topping The Dark Knight. Unless the film’s advertising budget is unreasonably large, then the movie will break even just on its domestic numbers. The underwater spectacle was treading water in the number two spot earlier in January, but thanks to another major weekend around the world, Jason Momoa’s superhero vehicle has reached a $1.09 billion worldwide total. This means there won’t be much new news to talk about. More... Due to the holidays, there was a delay in getting final numbers from major studios for the weekend box office, but the last of them have finally arrived. This is just 0.3% lower than the same weekend last year; however, last year, Christmas Eve fell on a Sunday and Christmas Eve is a dead zone at the box office. More... It’s the weekend after Christmas and as is the holiday tradition, there are no new releases this week. Not that long ago, I thought the film would still open with $10 million for the day, as Will Ferrell and John C. Reilly do have box office drawing power. December has an equal number of potential hits, led by Mary Poppins Returns, which some think will top $300 million. Its reviews and its A plus from CinemaScore should both helps its legs, as will the upcoming holidays. Now to see if Aquaman 2 can ride the wave ... Aquaman is now the biggest DC comic movie of all time, Animal Crossing: New Horizons Halloween event guide, Collect and hand out Candy for some Spooky rewards, The Genshin Impact saga of a YouTuber’s $2,000 blowout, 6 Aquaman stories to read after you’ve seen the movie, League of Legends turn-based RPG Ruined King comes to console and PC in 2021, Not all of Ubisoft’s PS4 games will work on PS5, Netflix’s new animated series has major Mandalorian vibes, Destiny 2’s Sparrows getting instant summoning in Beyond Light, How Watch Dogs: Legion solves the character-creation conundrum, Into the Spider-Verse suit makes Spider-Man: Miles Morales feel like the movie, All the ways Blood of Zeus remixes Greek mythology. Aquaman dominated the charts with just over $100 million so far, including its paid previews. newsletter, Sean Connery, legendary actor known for his role as James Bond, dies at 90. Then again, it cost just $20 million to make and will likely hit $100 million worldwide on Monday, so everyone involved will be happy with this result. The last “new” release is On the Basis of Sex, which is expanding nearly truly wide and it has an outside chance of earning a spot in the top five. This is 25% lower than the same weekend last year, but that was MLK Day long weekend, so this kind of difference was expected. Glass and the holdovers held up better than expected, but the two new releases, The Kid Who Would Be King and Serenity, both went nowhere. Its cumulative worldwide total is now sitting around $748.7 million, putting it ahead of its DC Extended Universe peers like Justice League, Man of Steel, and Suicide Squad. Worse still, this was 24% lower than the same weekend last year. For example, Aquaman is now estimated to earn $52.14 million, almost $600,000 more than the studio estimated yesterday. This is roughly as much as the rest of the top five made combined. More... Glass bounced back after a weak Friday earning an estimated $19.05 million over the weekend for a two-week total of $73.59 million. The Christmas holiday is over for most people, although it is not entirely over for some studios. theaters, 7.5 weeks average run per theater. The Super Bowl broke records, but not in a good way. This is making getting all of the box office details much harder to do. The Craft reboot, Train to Busan 2, and everything else you can now watch at home. For example, if our weekly retail survey estimates that a particular title sold 1% of all units that week, and the industry reports sales of 1,500,000 units in total, we will estimate 15,000 units were sold of that title. However, at this point, we can safely say China will contribute a disproportionate share of its international box office. When it comes to the domestic box office, however, Aquaman still staggers behind The Dark Knight and The Dark Knight Rises, with $316 million. Here’s how. Aquaman is a $748 million box office success, Joe Biden has finally disclosed who is raising him big money just days before Election Day. It overtook Suicide Squad for third place in the D.C.E.U. It is on pace for $30 million over the weekend and $300 million in total. More... 2019 has been off to a slow start and that certainly didn’t change this past weekend. It will take a long time to get the final yearly results, not until the MPAA’s state of the industry report in April, but preliminary results have 2018 beating 2017 by 8.4% or $920 million at $11.91 billion to $10.99 billion. It is already ahead of Man of Steel and Suicide Squad on the DCEU chart and should soon step into first place. I think the same five films that appeared in the top five last weekend will appear in the top five this weekend. Weekend Predictions: Is Dog’s Home at the Top of the Box Office? More... Aquaman earned $9.0 million during Thursday’s previews, which is a little lower than the $11.0 million Wonder Woman opened with. If what I read about the film’s surprise twist is correct, then this film could earn a D or worse from CinemaScore. The average moviegoer only sees one movie in a theater every other month, whereas the average critic will see two or more movies a week. Exclusive: Rashida Tlaib and AOC have a proposal for a fairer financial system — public banking. Aquaman, the marine opera that never quits, is shaping up to be quite a success story for Warner Bros. This weekend last year, Star Wars: The Last Jedi barely stayed ahead of Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle, as both films earned more than $50 million. Additionally, there are a huge number of contenders for Pick of the Week, ranging from Oscar contenders (If Beale Street Could Talk on Blu-ray Combo Pack); limited releases (The Miseducation of Cameron Post: Special Edition Blu-ray); animated imports (My Hero Academia: Two Heroes on Blu-ray); TV movie aimed at teens (Kim Possible on DVD); and classics (For A Few Dollars More: Special Edition Blu-ray). Aquaman remained the top draw on the international market with $88.4 million on 23,360 screens in 78 markets for totals of $562.4 million internationally and $751.4 million worldwide. This is not more than we predicted, but it is dominating the chart, because the competition didn’t show up. Figures will therefore fluctuate each week, and totals for individual titles can go up or down as we update our estimates. Even if it hits the high end, it will still be within a rounding error of expectations. There are three or four new releases that should reach the top ten, depending on how you look at things. More... Glass’s box office potential has continued to drop and it is now estimated to earn $40.59 million over the three-day weekend and $47.06 million over four. It wasn’t exactly a great weekend at the box office, but The Upside was the rare exception. More... Aquaman is the only certifiable hit of the weekend with an estimated opening of $67.4 million over the weekend for a total of $72.1 million including last week’s paid previews. Full financial estimates for this film, including domestic and international box office, video sales, video rentals, TV and ancillary revenue This led to the weekend box office haul falling below the $100 million mark at just $97 million. Because of its fast start in China and its strong pre-sales numbers, many believe Aquaman will top earlier expectations and earn first place over the three-day weekend. The film is estimated to open with $19.59 million. In fact, if Friday is a reliable omen, then this will be the worst Super Bowl weekend at the box office in more than a decade. Compare this performance with other movies…. Aquaman dominated with $52.11 million over the three-day weekend, while it cracked $200 million on New Year’s Day. Miss Bala is the only true wide release of the week, while They Shall Not Grow Old is expanding wide enough that it could grab a spot in the top five. We refine our estimates from week to week as more data becomes available. For more information, please contact us at research@the-numbers.com. The film will have no trouble topping $300 million domestically, and it might be able to climb a spot or two on the DCEU chart before it is done. If 2019 doesn’t lose the year-over-year comparison by more than 20%, then it will be a reason to celebrate. The film will become Warner Bros.’ second film released in 2018 to get to the $200 million mark (A Star is Born quietly got there before Christmas.) Aquaman remained the top draw on the international market with $88.4 million on 23,360 screens in 78 markets for totals of $562.4 million internationally and $751.4 million worldwide. It fell 55%, which is actually quite good for a film in China. Internationally, the film added $85.4 million this weekend to push its global running tally to just shy of $750 million at $748.8 million. The film’s international run is being handled by Disney, mostly, and they reported $48.5 million in 55 markets. The lower films struggled more. Weekend Predictions: Can Escape Find Room in the Top Five? There’s not a lot of difference between the new estimates and yesterday’s estimates. On the down side, the film has practically done its international run and only has China ahead. Glass should remain in top spot, likely with less than $10 million. The weekend after a long weekend is rarely a good weekend to release a movie and there are only two films attempting this challenge this week. Additionally, Spider-man Into the Spider-Verse, Aquaman, Bumblebee, and Holmes and Watson all have a realistic shot at $100 million or more. Watching It’s the Great Pumpkin, Charlie Brown with a 5-year-old, Support for Trump is tearing apart Vietnamese American families, With just days to go, Trump bets big on Pennsylvania, “We got our young man back”: A rescue in Nigeria gives Trump a late foreign policy win. In fact, $80 million over three-days is a realistic goal to aim for. but it might have to wait till the new year to get there. I think Aquaman will defend its crown, but it should at least be close. This would be an impressive year, even if no more movie tickets were sold after boxing day. It is also a comic book movie and those tend to have shorter legs, so it might not get as large a multiplier as the average Christmas weekend release, but it should be a large enough hit that Warner Bros. will keep this new direction going for the DCEU. The film needs to make more than $150 million in China to have a secure future there. ever.) The only market the film hasn’t opened in is China, which is the only international market Disney is not handling the distribution. That’s only the second time I can say that about the D.C.E.U. The Upside surprised box office analysts with $6.95 million on Friday, knocking Aquaman out of first place on the daily chart. This does include the previous night’s $9.0 million in previews, but not last weekend’s $4.7 million in previews, giving the film a $32.7 million running tally. This is 5.0% less than the same weekend last year, which means 2019’s losing streak continues. It’s not going to be a good weekend at the box office. This is the worst start in terms of raw dollars since 2012 and the worst start in terms of tickets sold since 1999. Second place went to Destroyer with an average of $18,449 in three theaters. More... Aquaman debuted in China dominating the market with $92.98 million over the weekend for a total opening of $94.28 million. Internationally, it is earning an estimated $91.3 million on 31,930 screens in 70 markets for a three-week total of $410.7 million. More... Glass opened in first place on the international chart with $48.5 million in 55 markets. The weekend estimates have Glass remaining on top of the chart with $9.54 million over the weekend, giving it a running tally of $88.66 million after three weeks of release. The top six are all Marvel Cinematic Universe titles, including Captain America: Civil War, Iron Man 3, Black Panther, then the three Avengers films taking the top three spots of the worldwide box office (Infinity War, first Avengers, and Ultron in that order, if you were curious). Cold War held on really well earning an average of $14,777 in three theaters. For Warner Bros., there was a lot of nervousness surrounding Aquaman because of how poorly Justice League did in 2017. In fact, it could earn more over the next four days than any other January film earns in total. More... Sony’s estimates have Spider-Man: Into The Spider-Verse earning $35.4 million over the weekend. More... Aquaman won the race for first place on the Friday box office chart, although it wasn’t as easy as originally expected. That splashes past the $1.085 billion mark set by Christopher Nolan’s The Dark Knight Rises, making the movie DC Comics and Warner Bros. top-performing superhero adaptation. Aquaman shows that despite mixed reviews from critics and a domestic box office (barring some kind of miracle) that leaves a lot to be desired, it …

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